Appalachian State Basketball: Appalachian vs. Samford 2/2/2012

January 29, 2012 No Comments by Charles

Of course, on Saturday, Samford upsets SoCon South division leader Davidson who had yet to lose in league play. Samford was deadly from the floor shooting over 50% for only the third time this season, and also shot 71% from three point range. The Bulldogs have now won four of five conference games after a snapping a six game losing streak. Earlier this season, Samford lost at home to by 5 to Appalachian in a PK game. I am expecting Appalachian to be favored by 8 points.

2/2/2012

I am really starting to nail the guessing of some of these larger spreads. The line tonight is Appalachian -7.5. After beating Davidson, Samford returned to earth, losing by 16 points to a very athletic College of Charleston squad. The Bulldogs only shot 23% from three point range against the Cougars, which led to their demise. Samford is only 2-7 straight up on the road this year, but are also 5-1 ATS in those games. Samford only shoots 61.2% from the free throw line on the road as well. Appalachian is 5-0 at home this year against the spread, and 7-2 overall. Appalachian has won 5 straight games against Samford and has shot 49% or better from the field in each of those games. I will take Appalachian to cover the 7.5 points

For the first time all season long, the line moved down to 7 for Appalachian and that should have told me something but it didnt. The Mountaineers suffered from a terrible shooting night from the floor and many chances to win the game, but fell short by one point 53-52. The 52 points were the third fewest points the Apps have scored all season long. My record fell back to .500 at 8-8. Appalachian lost their first game of the season at home ATS.

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