2/13/2012

This is a long range guess, but I am expecting Appalachian to be favored here by 2.5 points. Should be a very close game and picking this spread will be extremely tough.y

2/15/2012

The line opened this morning with Appalachian being listed as a 4.5 point favorite. I am surprised as both of these teams are fairly equal, besides Chattanooga being 0-12 on the road this season. Not only is Chattanooga winless on the road, their offensive and defensive numbers also decline when they leave the Volunteer State. The Mocs only average 30 points in the first half in road games, while giving up close to 35 points. Their defense gets progressively worse as the game goes, giving up close to 45 points in the second half, for a total of 79.7 points per game on the road. Oddly enough, Appalachian plays better defense at home, and especially in the second half. Both teams are near the bottom of the conference in free throw shooting, and that was difference the first time these two teams played. Chattanooga was a six point favorite at home but was fortunate enough to capture a two point win.

I am taking the Mountaineers. I think they are due, and the team has played better in its last two games. Chattanooga, once again has yet to win this season on the road.

2/16/2012

Appalachian cruised to a nine point win over the Mocs after leading by as many as 22 points in the second half. I finally snapped my losing streak and improved to 9-12 on the season.